What Does Clean Energy Cost ?
Posted by Big Gav in clean energy, economics
Tom Konrad has a post on the cost of various forms of clean energy - What Does Clean Energy Cost?.
The seemingly simple question, "How much does wind/solar/geothermal/etc. cost per kWh?" can be surprisingly difficult to answer. Advocates often cite particularly low figures, but they are often based on particularly favorable conditions, or analyses that don't include all the costs (for instance, costs of permitting.) Opponents do the opposite, often assuming particularly unfavorable conditions, or adding in costs which they would never consider adding in for their favored technology. Adding to the confusion, levelized cost of generation calculations are very sensitive to the interest rate used to discount capital cost and the lifetime of the investment.
A couple years ago, I put together some slides meant to give a visual comparison of transportation fuels, and another set for electricity generation technologies. These slides were intended to be more qualitative than quantitative, and were based on my personal synthesis of a large number of reports, rather than using a single methodology for each. More recently, I brought you an economic comparison of energy storage technologies (and alternatives to storage) based on a quantitative review of the literature.
Costs of Electricity Generation
Recently, a friend who invests in cleantech startups asked me for an update of comparisons of electricity generation technologies. I have not done an update, but I have found more studies that take fairly impartial looks at the available technologies. The most comprehensive one I've found is the one Black and Veatch (B&V) did for the California Renewable Energy Transmission Initiative (RETI.) B&V looked at the costs of generation of various renewable energy resources in the California region, as a first step in planning new electricity transmission to the best resources.
The Phase 1A report is available on the RETI website (large PDF), and is excellent reading for anyone interested in a relatively unbiased view of the real costs of renewable energy. It is a regional report (similar to, if much more comprehensive than, the Arizona Resource Assessment I wrote about in late 2007,) so people living in other regions should adjust the numbers to reflect resource availability. California and the surrounding area have good wind, hydro, and biomass resources, as well as world-class solar and geothermal resources. In the Southeast US, biomass based power would probably be cheaper, but wind, geothermal, and solar more expensive, while in the Great Plains, wind would be cheaper, but solar, hydro and geothermal would be more expensive. You get the idea.
It's interesting to note that the five least expensive renewable energy resources in the list are either baseload resources (Geothermal and Biomass cofiring) or have some potential to be dispatchable (hydropower, and landfill gas, if used in conjunction with storage for the methane.) Although wind is a variable resource, there are inexpensive potential sources or renewable electricity that are easy to integrate into the grid.