The Oil ConunDRUM  

Mobjectivist has a summary of his oil depletion modelling posts - The Oil ConunDRUM.

I synthesized the last several years of blog content and placed it into The Oil ConunDRUM. This document turned into a treatise of topics relating to the role of disorder and entropy in the applied sciences. Volume 1 is mainly on the analysis of the decline in global oil production, while Volume 2 uses often related analysis in studying renewable sources of energy and how entropy plays a role in our environment and everyday life.

TOC essentially draws a line in the sand and a virtual stake in the ground. Everything I have written about and all the original analyses I have worked out on the blog has not fundamentally changed as I aggregated the information. As far as I can tell, no one else has picked up on the direction that I have taken, and nothing has come out of the research literature that comes close to unifying the set of topics as well as this does.

A couple of commenters have said I should publish the research work through peer-reviewed channels. That won't happen because the project covers too much territory and compiling a massive tome such as this represented the best option I could think of. I invite all with an interest in the natural world to take a whack at digesting it.

This is a list of the novel areas of research, listed in what I consider a ranked order of originality:

1. The Oil Shock Model.

A data flow model of oil extraction and production which allows for perturbations.

2. The Dispersive Discovery Model.

A probabilistic model of resource discovery which accounts for technological advancement and a finite search volume.

3. The Reservoir Size Dispersive Aggregation Model.

A first-principles model that explains and describes the size distribution of oil reservoirs and fields around the world. ...