Gas prices to double in 20 years as demand explodes, Santos predicts  

Posted by Big Gav in , , , ,

Santos is tipping much higher natural gas prices for Australian consumers and a boom in unconventional gas - Gas prices to double in 20 years as demand explodes, Santos predicts.

The only way to meet a tripling in natural gas demand in eastern Australia is by allowing unconventional gas projects, such as coal seam gas, oil and gas producer Santos says.

Santos's eastern Australia vice-president James Baulderstone told a conference that he expected gas prices to more than double within two decades, driven by demand and linking it to oil prices. Soaring global demand for liquefied natural gas is expected to contribute to Australia's wealth and make it one of the world's biggest exporters of the commodity. ...

''The five LNG trains already sanctioned, with more planned, represent a quantum change in eastern Australian natural gas demand,'' Mr Baulderstone told the Opportunities and Challenges for Australian Gas conference yesterday. ''Provided natural gas development activity is allowed to proceed at the right pace, and the market is willing to pay the increased cost of extraction, there is sufficient gas in eastern Australia to meet this demand.'' But he added that it was not viable to develop much of the gas reserves to meet the new demand at current Australian gas prices of about $4 a gigajoule.

Australian gas prices were some of the cheapest in the developed world, Mr Baulderstone said. He predicted prices would move to $6 to $9 a gigajoule.

The Australian (now beginning to paywall itself into oblivion) reports that AGL are already seeing much higher prices - AGL secures east coast's most expensive gas deal.
AGL Energy has snared the east coast's most expensive domestic gas sales contract in what is thought to be a 50 per cent price jump forced by the expected demand from Queensland's coal-seam gas export plants. AGL is believed to have secured a price of about $6 a gigajoule for gas that will be used to supply miner Xstrata's Mount Isa operations for 10 years from 2013.

The SMh reports that fracking for coal seam gas now has a new cause for concern - earthquakes - Fracking shock reignites concern.
DEBATE over the safety of ''fracking'' in Australia has reignited after a gas project in Britain was named as the likely cause of 50 tremors this year.

A panel of seismic experts has found it ''highly probable'' that fracking conducted by Cuadrilla Resources - 41 per cent-owned by Australian drilling company AJ Lucas - was the cause of two significant tremors and 48 aftershocks near the British town of Blackpool in April and May. The findings come after the independent MP Tony Windsor told the federal government this week he would not support its mining tax unless more was done to investigate the safety of fracking in Australia.

Fracking, or hydraulic fracturing, is a controversial gas extraction technique that uses high pressure solutions to fracture rocks deep underground. The process is used in both coal seam gas and shale gas extraction and, if poorly executed, can contaminate groundwater and trigger seismic activity.

Fracking is most common in the United States but is fast spreading to other nations like Australia and Britain, where Cuadrilla hoped to develop a gas source near Blackpool. The company was forced to launch an investigation after tremors of magnitude 2.3 and 1.5 appeared to follow a series of fracks.

The report - commissioned by Cuadrilla - confirmed the fracking was ''most likely'' to have caused the tremors but said the region had ''rare'' geological factors that were one of ''many factors'' which ''coincided to induce these seismic events''.

AJ Lucas services the main coal and coal seam gas basins in Queensland and NSW, including in the Hunter Valley, Bowen Basin and Surat Basin.

The Cuadrilla revelations are not the first time fracking has been linked to tremors, with regulators in the US state of Arkansas expressing concern that two shale wells - now owned by BHP Billiton - were responsible for causing earthquakes.

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